I have done my reesearch, too.
wherever did you see me complain about luck? of coursse I am disappointed, that i didn't get anything relevant. I will still soldier on and make the best with what I got. I am jsut saying, the login change will affect accounts, which are in a similar position of mine far more than someone who got lucky. And I am postulatin, there are more players in my position than those in the lucky bracket.
I am postulating, that the average player will have trouble hitting NM/UNM clanboss daily before the 270 days are over and therefore th login reward change impact them massively. You ar eof coursse free to post data proffing the opposite. Please note, the th requirement would be 1-2 key NM and 2-3 key UNM for max chests on both UNM and \NM as per your collegues assertion.
For this setup it requires you to have a team capable of 1-2 key NM/2-3key UNM ready (ascended to at least 3, level 60) at day 30. Means you need to ha ve pulled all champions capable of this by day 21 plus got all the required books. I don't know about you, but in my opinion, that scenario seems highly unlikely.
Good for anyone who can pull it off. I am not saying it's impossible. I am just saying it's not what the average player can pull off.
The login reward change removes player agency and ressources (chicken=energy)
Now if we would get at least mid tier stuff, but alas.
I have little hope for the future when looking at the pre270 days login rewards.
Yaga - trash, Tainix-trash,Lordly legionaire ("worst epic in the game")-trash, Dark athel-trash, Dark Elhaine - good in a dungeon no one farms...,Scyl - Amazing, Visix - amazing, Khatun very useful early to midgame.
Going with the same rate of usefulness after 270 days out of the next 32 months you can expect:
2 amazing leggendaries, 1 situationally good one and 5 trash tier ones.
Means you trade 32 sacre shards for 2 amazing and one situational champion. I don't know about you but for me that sounds not a good trade. as a sacred shard can also pull a good epic. Also how many guaranteed legos will you get out of the pity timer for 32 sacred shards?
Now if we ccould choose from a fixed pool of champions to use the shards on it would be a differnt matter. Player agency and all that. It would also help if the champions in questions would not be general trash tier but at elast situationally useful.