Hello everyone.
First thing: Djrocco, Dorieas never meant that there was a fraud and that his analysis was a way to track it. He just tried to explain what was the more beneficial way to do the ranking raids, from his own opinion.
Second thing: your theory about the raid bug is wrong. Dorieas said himseld last november that he obtained in several times some more raids due to this Plarium bug. So, this bug happends also for players who participate constantly in the raid rankings.
But, let's go to the main subject of my post. From my opinion, the analysis of Dorieas about the benefit of using IR is not correct, for two reasons:
1°) The calculation of Dorieas must integrate the number of opponents using IR and the number of IR used, what you cannot know at the beginning of a tournament (you can just guess it). If too many raiders are using them, the benefit of using IR will decrease. For example, if 10 players use 7 IR, like DJRocco this week, each of them will spend in Dorieas theory 2100 drachmas for an average reward of 1256 drachmas. In this situation, it is more profitable not to use any IR than 7 or less.
So, the only reason why, for example, DJRocco think using 7 IR is profitable, is because he is used to a regular configuration of the raid ranking, that let him hope that it will be enough to finish in the top 3. But this configuration seems now to change. And I can understand it can disturb.
2°) The analysis of Dorieas is based on the value of an instant recall at the black market : 300 drachmas. But this is not the only way to get them. You can have them for free as reward in some PVP tournament. In this case, the IR are not valuable: because, you did not buy them and you can't sell them. If a player use these IR in a raid ranking, he won't make any loss, whatever the place.
For example, I have 14 free IR. In the usual configuration, I'm sure to finish 1st spending 0 drachma, with at most 10,2 millions. Another player could finished 2nd, with 7 IR bought. Finally, I would have won 3100 drachmas more than him.
The calculation is this one: you spent troops in the PVP tournament, changing them in IR (and other items, drachmas and troops of course). Then you change the IR in drachmas by spending them in the raid ranking. This is a real benefit, despite Dorieas analysis.
That is what Rambo partly did.
However, it's a game, and it is also a pleasure to brake record and finish first in a tournament. That is a sort of fun we are all looking for.
Laurius,
