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My analysis of Twin Souls drops

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harleQuinnModerator
13 сент. 2022, 20:3913.09.22
24.02.19
8091
Trips


i

Just a little short on essence... don't think an extra 6 runs in fortress today would help :)


NEKMO

Tough missing out. Hopefully it pops back up soon after you've saved up.

13 сент. 2022, 20:5913.09.22
19.12.19
6989
harleQuinn

NEKMO

Tough missing out. Hopefully it pops back up soon after you've saved up.

Saving up essence is going to be tougher than saving up shards for guaranteed events.... I'm not even going to click on that tab anymore...


harleQuinnModerator
13 сент. 2022, 21:0013.09.22
24.02.19
8091
Trips

Saving up essence is going to be tougher than saving up shards for guaranteed events.... I'm not even going to click on that tab anymore...


Why? Too busy buying gamba rubies to save? :D

14 сент. 2022, 13:3314.09.22
19.12.19
6989

So should I buy Ukko 1star for 20?  Doesn't seem like a great idea to buy any more 1star... 

14 сент. 2022, 14:1414.09.22
28.05.20
29
kramaswamy.kr

That's ... not at all what I said. If you read the last line in my picture, I estimated it at about 4 months to *fully* awaken one champ. That means, going from zero stars all the way to six.

is much more then 4 months, yesterday i run 12 keys and get 12 silver essence and 3 gold essence, they need to cut off this mortal coin on the floor 15 to be viable. 12 key and energy to get this number of essence is a joke.

14 сент. 2022, 15:1514.09.22
25.06.20
7026
pabloaraujo.nh

is much more then 4 months, yesterday i run 12 keys and get 12 silver essence and 3 gold essence, they need to cut off this mortal coin on the floor 15 to be viable. 12 key and energy to get this number of essence is a joke.

It's ... not. You can feel free to look at how I did my calculations. Of course it's very possible I made a mistake in my math, but if so, point out where that math is incorrect.

Don't just say "my limited sample size experience proves you are wrong". 

As an aside - if you used 12 keys and got 12 Immortal Soul Essence (ISE) and 3 Eternal Soul Essence (ESE), you should consider yourself *super* lucky. Your Expected Value (EV) of ISE is about 4.56 from those 12 keys, and your EV of ESE is about 0.96. So you got about three times your EV in rewards.

20 сент. 2022, 12:2520.09.22
15.10.20
2

There is error in calculation which isn't considering transfer between Immortal Coins (IC) and Immortal Soul Essence (ISE). If you get roughly 1000 Mortal Coins (MC) daily from twins, then in 10 days you'll have 10 Mortal Soulstones (MS). Pulling 10 MS = 200 IC. 1 ISE is in shop for 50 IC. So in 10 days you'll only have 4 ISE.

So 

2* split soul (2 000 IC) - 100 days

3* split soul (6 000 IC) - 300 days

4* split soul (15 000 IC) - 750 days

It's without considering how much ISE you'll get from twins or how many IC you'll get from selling souls.

20 сент. 2022, 12:5220.09.22
02.01.20
101

Trip, I think you posted this in our clan discord, but since I am here I will ask, how or when do these split souls come up?

Do you have to buy a 1* perfect soul in market, or get via soulstone with a certian level awakening on a champ first, then you have a chance for a split soul to appear in market?

20 сент. 2022, 12:5520.09.22
25.06.20
7026
x-6.6.6-x

There is error in calculation which isn't considering transfer between Immortal Coins (IC) and Immortal Soul Essence (ISE). If you get roughly 1000 Mortal Coins (MC) daily from twins, then in 10 days you'll have 10 Mortal Soulstones (MS). Pulling 10 MS = 200 IC. 1 ISE is in shop for 50 IC. So in 10 days you'll only have 4 ISE.

So 

2* split soul (2 000 IC) - 100 days

3* split soul (6 000 IC) - 300 days

4* split soul (15 000 IC) - 750 days

It's without considering how much ISE you'll get from twins or how many IC you'll get from selling souls.

That calculation is included already in my math. The column "EV as ISE" takes the EV column for the IC rows, and divides it by 50. These are then added to the EV per day of ISE value. 

20 сент. 2022, 13:2420.09.22
19.12.19
6989
RaiderNation32

Trip, I think you posted this in our clan discord, but since I am here I will ask, how or when do these split souls come up?

Do you have to buy a 1* perfect soul in market, or get via soulstone with a certian level awakening on a champ first, then you have a chance for a split soul to appear in market?

You have to awaken champ before split souls appear, at least that is how i think it works 

20 сент. 2022, 13:3820.09.22
15.10.20
2
kramaswamy.kr

That calculation is included already in my math. The column "EV as ISE" takes the EV column for the IC rows, and divides it by 50. These are then added to the EV per day of ISE value. 

So how exactly you'll get more than 20 Immortal Soul Essences from 6 twins runs which will give you approx 1 000 Mortal coins? This makes no sense. For 20 ISE you need to have 1 000 Immortal coins.

20 сент. 2022, 13:5220.09.22
25.06.20
7026
x-6.6.6-x

So how exactly you'll get more than 20 Immortal Soul Essences from 6 twins runs which will give you approx 1 000 Mortal coins? This makes no sense. For 20 ISE you need to have 1 000 Immortal coins.

Yeah you're correct. I need to adjust my numbers. Will re-do them in a bit.

20 сент. 2022, 18:1420.09.22
25.06.20
7026

Okay. I adjusted my numbers. And they are now terrible. I completely retract my original statement indicating that they were reasonable. These are just insane.

20 сент. 2022, 18:4020.09.22
11.02.21
932

You can kinda see how important unlucky pulls are to Plarium's bottom line lol. Not that we didn't know that they are (nature of a gacha game), but we can see the actual value between price for getting what you want and rolling the dice. 

For now, the plan is to use essences to fully awaken Coldheart or get an occasional one-star souls for Brimstone. As for Epics and Leggos, seems like rolling the dice with soulstones is a much more feasible plan than chasing specific awakenings. 

20 сент. 2022, 19:0120.09.22
19.12.19
6989

I say regardless of the math, still best use of 120 energy/day.  Unequivocally!


20 сент. 2022, 19:0620.09.22
19.12.19
6989
Balltazer

You can kinda see how important unlucky pulls are to Plarium's bottom line lol. Not that we didn't know that they are (nature of a gacha game), but we can see the actual value between price for getting what you want and rolling the dice. 

For now, the plan is to use essences to fully awaken Coldheart or get an occasional one-star souls for Brimstone. As for Epics and Leggos, seems like rolling the dice with soulstones is a much more feasible plan than chasing specific awakenings. 

What does fully awakening CH accomplish? And how much does that cost? 

I agree on the occasional 1star for brimstone, and just rolling the dice once/day with the 1000 coins. 

I need some more incorrect math from kram to analyze best use of gold coins:) before having a firm opinion 


20 сент. 2022, 19:2520.09.22
25.06.20
7026
Trips

I say regardless of the math, still best use of 120 energy/day.  Unequivocally!


Oh no question I will - my comments are more in reference to the marketplace specifically. After re-doing the math, it seems more that the marketplace was a pre-emptive way for Plarium to respond to people saying they want to be able to sell the souls they collected but have no use for. Their primary intention is for people to summon souls, and not to buy them.

20 сент. 2022, 19:2920.09.22
11.02.21
932
Trips

What does fully awakening CH accomplish? And how much does that cost? 

I agree on the occasional 1star for brimstone, and just rolling the dice once/day with the 1000 coins. 

I need some more incorrect math from kram to analyze best use of gold coins:) before having a firm opinion 


A small part of it is the Hero's Soul blessing for Spider.

A bigger part of it is that I probably won't accumulate enough essences to fully awaken Epic or Legendary champions anytime soon.

The biggest part of it is that I'm not spending coins to buy essences lol 


Basically, it boils down to I'm not buying essences, and I'm not waiting to accumulate enough to ascend Epics and Leggos. And since I can't spend them on anything else, I'll use them to awaken a rare, like Coldheart...in a nutshell. 

21 сент. 2022, 11:0721.09.22
15.10.20
871
Trips

I say regardless of the math, still best use of 120 energy/day.  Unequivocally!


I will still spend 120 energy too, but not waste any gems on it.

I am also going to stop buying one stars from the store.