Honestly - you really just don't get the mechanics of this game. Sorry, but your responses to people pretty clearly indicate this. Simply put - a single speed point on a single champion could completely change the outcome of the fight. A single change in mastery, change in item set bonuses, change in champions, change in champion booking, etc - can all drastically change how the fight plays out.
And not one of you barking lot has addressed the fact that the odds of this change being exactly what is necessary to keep me exactly below the loot tier - even as I continue to make them - are so astronomically slim as to be all but unbeleivable. I would like to know why you lot are so quick to defend such a ludicrous explanation whilst simultaneously debasing my honest observations. Which explanation is more likely - from any observer's point of view. All you are doing is defending Plarium's business model of 'plausible deniability.' Why? Are you on their payroll?