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I'm in a bind...

I'm in a bind...

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Dec 14, 2023, 22:0412/14/23
06/16/22
203

I'm in a bind...

Man that Duchess progressive summon looks really good. I have 31 Sacreds and no Duchess. I know the odds are fairly against me to get her, but this seems like one of the best times to pull for her. 

On the other hand, I really didn't want to do this fusion, and still don't really want to...but if I complete the summon rush I basically should just do it. 

Who wants to talk me in / out of the Duchess summon?

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29
Comments
10
Comments
Dec 14, 2023, 22:2712/14/23
10/08/17
1094

Duchess is an account changing upgrade for every bit of content  imo

I have 1 and she is my goto revivor 

Dec 14, 2023, 23:0712/14/23
06/25/20
6719

Don't waste your resources, beyond what you may invest for fusion. Odds are still very low, and you'll benefit more from being able to consistently complete fusions, than from using all your sacreds for a low chance.

Dec 14, 2023, 23:4512/14/23
12/19/19
6452
kramaswamy.kr

Don't waste your resources, beyond what you may invest for fusion. Odds are still very low, and you'll benefit more from being able to consistently complete fusions, than from using all your sacreds for a low chance.

This. Get your fragments and stop... see you at shard count 0 tomorrow otherwise with no duchess 

Dec 15, 2023, 00:4312/15/23
06/16/22
203
Trips

This. Get your fragments and stop... see you at shard count 0 tomorrow otherwise with no duchess 

How am I realistically ever going to pull for her? Should I wait for a similar event with 60 sacreds in hand?

Dec 15, 2023, 01:0212/15/23
05/03/20
1860
kmanmott

How am I realistically ever going to pull for her? Should I wait for a similar event with 60 sacreds in hand?

I pulled both of my Duchess from ancient shards.  Be patient.  

Dec 15, 2023, 02:4812/15/23
06/25/20
6719
kmanmott

How am I realistically ever going to pull for her? Should I wait for a similar event with 60 sacreds in hand?

Realistically? You aren't.

But just for the hell of it - remember that this isn't a 2x weekend, so your odds on sacreds are very low for yellows, and basically nonexistent for blues. 31 sacreds gives you a 1 - 0.94^31 = 85% chance of getting a lego - which is certainly good odds to get any random one. But on the initial 15x, you're still only around a 7.5% chance of getting that one specific champ. And the odds of getting *two* legos from 31 shards aren't great at all. Let's be simple and say you got one in the first 15, from your remaining 16 you have only a 62% chance of getting one. And then, with the second one you're not much better in chances - at 20x you're at about a 10% chance.

So, generously speaking, you have about a 17.5% chance of getting her, using ALL of your sacreds. Is that worth it, in your mind?

Dec 15, 2023, 16:0612/15/23
06/16/22
203
kramaswamy.kr

Realistically? You aren't.

But just for the hell of it - remember that this isn't a 2x weekend, so your odds on sacreds are very low for yellows, and basically nonexistent for blues. 31 sacreds gives you a 1 - 0.94^31 = 85% chance of getting a lego - which is certainly good odds to get any random one. But on the initial 15x, you're still only around a 7.5% chance of getting that one specific champ. And the odds of getting *two* legos from 31 shards aren't great at all. Let's be simple and say you got one in the first 15, from your remaining 16 you have only a 62% chance of getting one. And then, with the second one you're not much better in chances - at 20x you're at about a 10% chance.

So, generously speaking, you have about a 17.5% chance of getting her, using ALL of your sacreds. Is that worth it, in your mind?

Well, I ended up starting the day pulling 1 - got Jintoro instantly. Pulled 2 more shards then got a dupe Black Knight. So 2/3 Leggos for Sacred. Then I pulled 4 more and got Cupidus. Then 5 more....and a Roric. 

Was feeling really excited after getting the 25x activated after 3 shards, but I couldn't get her with those additional. I've pulled 12 Sacreds and got 4 leggos. 

I have 20 more sacred....I'm probably stopping....or not?

Dec 15, 2023, 16:2912/15/23
09/21/20
130

Well four in 12 shards is ridiculously lucky already 😃

I'd stop and save the 20 for a guaranteed, fusion or whatever. 


Dec 15, 2023, 16:3312/15/23
12/19/19
6452

pull 3 more or 1500 green to finish summon rush? pot committed :)

Dec 15, 2023, 16:3512/15/23
02/24/23
5

I have a Dutchess and she is great in any mode.  I had 18 sacreds so I pulled for Prince Kymar this morning.  Got 9 deep and finally hit gold and it was ......an Abbess.  I dont even use the first Abbess I have.  LOL.  Im just going to save my other 9 for next weekend as it should be a 2x sacreds.  With your shard count I say pull until you hit gold.  Hopefully it is Dutchess, but if not I would hold on to the rest of your sacred.   This is your best chance to get her but even at 25x the legend pull on non voids is huge so it is still a long shot.